26 Nov 2024 – 18:45 CET
UEFA – Champions League
Round 5
- Review
- Odds
- AI Prediction
- Stats & H2H
- Smart Money
Why Atletico Madrid Could Win
Atlético Madrid snatched off a rather dramatic victory in the Champions League last round, bouncing back from two consecutive defeats. Their 2-1 away win against PSG was impressive,, even if it wasn’t exactly a fair reflection of the game. Their weekend win against Alavés, secured with a late goal, wasn’t exactly convincing either and felt more like a used car salesman’s pitch.
Despite inconsistent performances and a knack for conceding early goals, Atlético still managed to string together five consecutive wins across all competitions.
Sparta Prague started their Champions League adventure like rockstars, grabbing four points against Stuttgart and Salzburg. But then, faster than a deflating balloon, they lost their mojo. A massive thrashing by Manchester City was bad enough, but the 1-2 home loss to Brest was a bit of a shock. Can’t stop the feeling like they missed their chance to progress with that loss.
Their overall form is about as impressive as a wet newspaper – just two wins in eleven matches, with one of those victories coming against second-division side Brno in the domestic cup.They’re sitting fourth in the Chance Liga, a whopping 14 points behind their biggest rival Slavia – close enough to see the success, but far enough to feel the pain.
The Czechs are also facing a bit of a selection headache with injuries to key players. It’s fair to say they’ll be a bit weakened without Preciado, Birmancevic, and Haraslín.
Why Sparta Praha Could Draw/Win
Atlético Madrid have a tendency to make things difficult for themselves. Their habit of conceding early goals isn’t ideal, and it could come back to haunt them if they don’t tighten up at the back.
Soon, they’ll find themselves chasing the game, only to be met with a solid wall of defenders.
Our Prediction
Atlético Madrid are hanging on by a thread in the play-off race. They’ll be going all out for a win, especially considering Prague’s injuries and poor form. On paper, this should be a straightforward victory.
1.66
Coolbet
Best odds across bookies and Implied Probability and Probability according to our AI
| Bet | Odds | Sportsbook | Implied Probability | AI Probability |
| Sparta Praha | 5.65 | Betsson | 17.7% | 20% |
| Draw | 4.00 | Betsson | 25% | 30% |
| Atletico Madrid | 1.66 | Coolbet | 60.2% | 50% |
*All odds are approximately accurate at time of publication and subject to change.
AI Prediction for FC Twente vs Real Madrid
AI Form
Sparta Praha Home Form
Atletico Madrid Away Form
H2H not available since its first time they meet
Stats
Sparta Praha
Atletico Madrid
- There have been over 2.5 goals scored in 6 of the last 7 Sparta Prague home games.
- Sparta Prague wins with a handicap of +1.5 in each of their last 5 Champions League home games.
- Atletico Madrid has scored and conceded in 6 of the last 7 Champions League games.
- There have been over 2.5 goals scored in each of the last 7 Atletico Madrid in the Champions League games.
“Smart Money” is on: Atletico Madrid
